Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 9.863590 11.299212 12.887024 14.776130 16.966058 19.429052 22.415111
2025-08-03 7.721126 9.521700 11.675766 14.452483 17.951363 22.232637 27.897027
2025-08-10 6.484248 8.428592 10.889377 14.251236 18.754019 24.617744 32.899240
2025-08-17 5.617050 7.618414 10.269626 14.067691 19.416686 26.751503 37.692130
2025-08-24 4.941753 6.950071 9.716455 13.844921 19.917913 28.629199 42.261952
2025-08-31 4.386822 6.369609 9.196542 13.571194 20.261039 30.252748 46.581937
2025-09-07 4.152577 6.215392 9.254708 14.124554 21.855665 33.863621 54.335262
2025-09-14 3.856080 5.930984 9.079820 14.286294 22.837463 36.602080 60.996782
2025-09-21 3.556054 5.607297 8.805595 14.248950 23.474077 38.823713 67.029751
2025-09-28 3.268386 5.273311 8.478538 14.081999 23.860104 40.641974 72.547076
2025-10-05 3.140294 5.184860 8.536821 14.557934 25.381225 44.553072 82.294637
2025-10-12 3.002373 5.065593 8.529176 14.912136 26.712911 48.253842 92.095745
2025-10-19 2.905592 5.011041 8.631544 15.480128 28.511188 53.043603 104.721393
2025-10-26 2.673036 4.698062 8.253411 15.132763 28.554218 54.512444 110.870196
2025-11-02 2.484672 4.447780 7.964617 14.921058 28.828727 56.447647 118.219413
2025-11-09 2.317501 4.221976 7.700385 14.728221 29.113994 58.422851 125.896058
2025-11-16 2.160763 4.002669 7.429320 14.494199 29.286340 60.173575 133.291465
2025-11-23 2.011779 3.786179 7.145533 14.206664 29.313875 61.612022 140.150947
2025-11-30 1.976502 3.786425 7.281051 14.787959 31.245737 67.384704 157.990444
2025-12-07 1.897233 3.693336 7.223506 14.957879 32.295300 71.306921 171.895291
2025-12-14 1.801973 3.560688 7.075190 14.918646 32.870805 74.204391 183.639028
2025-12-21 1.700522 3.407793 6.873240 14.743252 33.115311 76.349102 193.741520
2025-12-28 1.669731 3.399023 6.971060 15.243274 34.987609 82.608411 215.661744